Question asked. Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. All Rights Reserved. Business & professional services. conducted. Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), while the Greens have 7% (-1) and Reform UK have 3% of the vote (no change). Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? State of the Nation. Easy-to-digest video clips. That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. We will not share your email address with any third parties. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? Sustainable shooting key to governments nature recovery plans, Press release: Shootings role outlined to the new Welsh parliament, Liz Truss says she would use nuclear warfare, Hidden history: The Nazi-Soviet pact which Russia now tries to deny, The bigotry of Ukip is swamping the Conservative party, Very quietly, the coalition tries to dismantle judicial review, Comment: Anti-porn laws allow police to target those they don't like, Ambulance unions approached for pay talks after GMB tightens derogations, Reticulated giraffe heads to London Zoo before big breeding programme move, IRC Statement on IDC Report into UK Aid spend by the Home Office, Corporation tax is the tool to incentivise net zero, Trees: most accurate data yet shows glaring disparity in tree cover across England. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. 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Humza Yousaf 'should be anti-nationalist choice' for First Minister - because he's so useless, The Majority reckons the health secretary will create a 'raging bin fire' for the SNP if he gets the keys to Bute House when the party votes on a new leader, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle 'OK' about leaving Frogmore Cottage following Buckingham Palace's eviction, The couple are said to have accepted that they were privileged to have a house in the US and the UK, Rangers XI v Kilmarnock as Michael Beale starts Nicolas Raskin and Todd Cantwell after Celtic final defeat, New January recruits return to the first team after their shock Hampden omission, Manchester United hero Nicky Butt 'hated' Aberdeen interview process as he admits 'sick' feeling of manager talks, The Old Trafford Class of 92' hero spoke to several suitors including Aberdeen in 2021, SNP blasted for 'dragging their heels' over dangerous cladding programme as they spend less than 1m of 97m funding pot. According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. Big names to go would include Joanna Cherry and Mhairi Black. The Japanese midfielder was handed the February Player of the Month award. Please check you have typed it correctly. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. Similarly, the above analysis has been conducted based on the existing United Kingdom constituency boundaries. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Charities & not-for-profit. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. Gender Recognition Act, Tags: Gender Recognition Act, Gender Recognition Reform, Panelbase, poll, survey. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. [1] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the next UK general election as a de facto independence referendum. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. The poll for the Sun found. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. In early 2023, the No campaign had already regained an opinion poll lead, doing so at a time that coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided.